Oklahoma 2026 General Election HQ

Tuesday 3 November 2026

The race for governor

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Live results

Waiting for the first results on election night. The count starts after the polls close at 19:00. This card stays empty until then.

The statewide slate

officeRepublicanDemocratotherslast time contestedrun against the governor's raceraised R / D
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"Last time contested" is the Democrat's share of all votes the last time the office had a contested general. Performance v governor is that race's margin (Democrat minus Republican, points of all votes) minus the governor's margin on the same ballots, shown as D+ or R+.

On the ballot

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State questions and retention

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Ticket lag

In 2022 Oklahoma's governor race and U.S. Senate race were on the same ballots. Kevin Stitt (R) took 55.45% for governor and James Lankford (R) took 64.30% for Senate. So the Republican for governor ran 8.85 points behind the Republican for Senate statewide. He also ran behind in all 77 counties (range −16.9 to −2.0). On election night the live page works out the same gap for Mike Mazzei (R) and Kevin Hern (R), county by county, and compares it with the 2022 benchmark. The gap measures split tickets. The forecast has its own tab.

Live results

Election night results for Governor and U.S. Senate by county, with the ticket-lag gap and two projections of the governor's race. Six benchmark questions, written in advance, are scored as the count comes in, and the whole statewide board is below them. The page reads the State Election Board feed every few seconds.

Autopsy

What happened on 3 November and how the forecast did. Each office against its published point and range. Each race by precinct, county, district and media market beside 2022, 2018 and the forecast, with the central-bucket ballots of Oklahoma and Tulsa Counties spread back over their precincts. Each contested legislative seat against the governor vote inside it, with the flips. How the ballots were cast. Turnout against 2022 and 2018 by precinct and by the makeup of the precinct. Why: the forecast was fixed before the count, so the test is public. Turnout by party of registration follows when the voter history posts.

Forecast

Every statewide race that has a model, the governor first: each candidate counted, statewide (and inside CD5 for governor), each with its range; every precinct's forecast beside the office's last general, summed by county, district and media market; and the absentee ballots requested and returned so far. Why: you can see the range, the past record and the precincts behind the forecast.

Early vote

Who has voted so far, by the party each voter is registered in: early in-person votes from each State Election Board report and mail ballots requested and returned, statewide and by county, each beside the same point in 2022 and 2024. A ballot cast is not a vote for that party.

Precinct atlas

Forty-six contests on today's 1,984 precincts: the 3 November 2026 general for every statewide office, every 2026 primary and runoff, every statewide general of 2018 and 2022, the 2024 presidential. Beside them the published forecast and the autopsy by precinct: the result against the forecast, the swing from 2022 and from 2018, each office against the governor's race, and turnout against 2022 and 2018. Plus registration, the modelled November electorate and every office's past performance against the governor's race. VIEW BY precinct, county, House, Senate, Congress or media market. Any of those can also sit over the precincts as a transparent layer; hover to see its number. Why: every contest is on one map, so a new finding is just another layer there. Because every contest uses today's precincts, any two can be compared directly.

The statewide races

Governor, Lieutenant Governor, U.S. Senate, Attorney General, Treasurer, Superintendent, Labor, Insurance and Corporation Commissioner: who is on the line, how they were nominated, the office's past generals with the reason each is here, its performance against the governor's race, and the money. Why: every office is read from the same record on one page, so the nine offices always agree with each other.

Terrain

Every county, House district, Senate district, congressional district or media market on the same benchmarks for whichever office you pick: its history, the shared baselines, the 2026 nominations, registration and the modelled electorate. You can sort it, every column has an explanation, and it links into the atlas. Why: people ask which counties and which districts, and a table answers that better than a map.

Scenarios

Set each party's turnout and how its voters split, or set a statewide margin, and every county, district and media market moves on the precinct model behind the Forecast tab: each precinct keeps its own history and its own swing. Presets name their sources, and a sensitivity chart shows which lever decides the race. Each office then runs off the governor's result with its own performance dial. Why: a scenario should show where the votes come from, not one number moved up to. Why: a claim about a race should come back to three public numbers.

Legislature and Congress

Every state Senate, state House and U.S. House seat on the ballot with its nominees, its presidential and gubernatorial baselines and its last general margin; filter, sort, and see the seats decided at filing.

State questions and retention

Each state question in its official words with a plain gist, who placed it and who is for and against; the June and August question results by county; the judicial retention ballot.

Money

Cycle-to-date raised, spent and cash on hand for the statewide and congressional nominees, from the newest Ethics Commission and FEC reports, plus reported outside spending. Totals only. Donor names are not shown.

Ad buys

Who is paying for ads in which race, and where they air: every disclosed TV, radio, cable and satellite order from the FCC political files of the outlets that reach Oklahoma, Google's and Meta's political ad archives, and media payments in the state and federal finance reports. A media-market map (also by county and by district race), a weekly chart by side, sponsors, races, markets and every filing linked to its public document. Why: the ad money is spread across eight public records. This page puts them together and notes what each record misses.

Calendar and rules

Registration, absentee and early-voting deadlines with countdowns; polling hours; what to bring; where the official results appear.

Sources and methods

Where every number comes from and how the county totals, shares and margins are worked out. It also explains ticket lag and the limits of the election-night projections.

Built 2026-11-04. Every figure on this site is read at load from the published data files (general_hq_data.json, statewide_2026.json and each tab's own file). When two tabs show the same figure, it comes from the same file.
Independent analysis by Dan Williams · danthedemocrat.com. This is not a campaign website. Every number comes from public records: State Election Board results and candidate filings, Oklahoma Ethics Commission and FEC reports, the Secretary of State, and named news outlets.
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